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What this means. A wallet put $43.0k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 37% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 14 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$43.0k
SELL Yes @ 63¢ · 68,546 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)2.1× this wallet's usual betPolitics
What happened
Wallet jocpolitic took Yes (sell) for $43.0k at an average 63¢. At that price the market implied a 37% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $43.0k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 63¢
- Implied odds
- 37.3%
- Size
- $43.0k
- Placed
- May 06, 19:19 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 06, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- jocpolitic
- Tx
- 0x4b68e0e2…
This wallet's graded record
10/14-0.4 pts
expected 10.1 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $146.5k 5.5× usual |
excluded |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $22.3k | excluded |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $22.8k | excluded |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $21.0k | excluded |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $45.9k | excluded |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.8k | excluded |