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Spread: Spain (-2.5)missed
What this means. A wallet put $10.9k on Spain, at a price that gave it a 59% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Spread: Spain (-2.5)missed$10.9k
BUY Spain @ 59¢ · 18,500 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet owejosamdfi took Spain (buy) for $10.9k at an average 59¢. At that price the market implied a 59% chance for that side. The market resolved Cabo Verde, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.9k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 59¢ means
59%chance the market gave
−144American odds
$1.00paid per share if Spain wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 59¢
- Implied odds
- 59.0%
- As American odds
- −144 no vig
- Size
- $10.9k
- Placed
- Jun 15, 10:16 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 15, 12:00 EDT
- Result
- Cabo Verde
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- owejosamdfi
- Tx
- 0x4866bb07…
This wallet's graded record
3/5+6.5 pts
expected 2.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -59 ptsSpain price · entry 59¢ · resolved Cabo Verde
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | LOW SELL Cabo Verde @ 99.9¢ | $11.1k | excluded |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | LOW SELL Cabo Verde @ 99.9¢ | $44.7k | excluded |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | LOW SELL Cabo Verde @ 66¢ | $15.7k | excluded |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | HIGH BUY Spain @ 53¢ | $106.0k 3.9× usual |
excluded |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | LOW BUY Spain @ 53¢ | $16.7k | excluded |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | HIGH BUY Cabo Verde @ 44¢ | $3.38M | excluded |