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What this means. A wallet put $53.9k on not No, at a price that gave it a 2% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?excluded
$53.9k
SELL No @ 98¢ · 55,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)2.2× this wallet's usual betOther

What happened

Wallet HanSolo24 took No (sell) for $53.9k at an average 98¢. At that price the market implied a 2% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $53.9k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
98¢
Implied odds
2.0%
Size
$53.9k
Placed
Apr 12, 09:29 EDT
Market close
Apr 29, 20:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
HanSolo24
Tx
0x47e84b42…

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $16.6k0% boodaii176d agoexcluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.1¢ $10.1k1% 12100K177d agoexcluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ $11.6k0% wbxxx178d agoexcluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ $19.8k0% iamkrisas179d agoexcluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $55.0k
2.2× usual
100% forinnerpsandr1x11222180d agoexcluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?MED SELL No @ 99.7¢ $147.0k
4.9× usual
0% Trump2028180d agoexcluded