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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$250.9k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$11.0k
Last 30 days +$0 · $2.76M volume · 1,654 trades · since Nov 20, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$79.3k
Open P&L · 5 positions
−$62.5k
Closed-position win rate
78%
78 closed
Wallet age · markets
703d
78 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 92¢ | $24.8k | called |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 98¢ | $53.9k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 90¢ | $12.8k | missed |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 95.9¢ | $47.1k | called |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | MED SELL No @ 90¢ | $31.5k | called |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 85¢ | $14.6k | missed |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 83¢ | $18.4k | missed |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | LOW SELL No @ 94¢ | $19.7k | excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | LOW BUY No @ 87¢ | $28.0k | excluded |
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