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What this means. A wallet put $11.3k on Argentina, at a price that gave it a 69% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advanceexcluded
$11.3k
BUY Argentina @ 69¢ · 16,434 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet NordhavenCap took Argentina (buy) for $11.3k at an average 69¢. At that price the market implied a 69% chance for that side. The market resolved Argentina. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $11.3k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 69¢ means
69%chance the market gave
−221American odds
$1.00paid per share if Argentina wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
69¢
Implied odds
68.8%
As American odds
−221 no vig
Size
$11.3k
Placed
Jul 07, 12:29 EDT
Market close
Jul 07, 12:00 EDT
Result
Argentina
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
NordhavenCap
Tx
0x46374c2a…

Entry to resolution

Grade +31 pts
Argentina price · entry 69¢ · resolved Argentina
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 69¢ · $11.3k WHALE $11.3K @ 69¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL Argentina @ 99.9¢ $147.0k0% dumb6money108d agoexcluded
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL Argentina @ 99.9¢ $10.9k0% 0x631a…b631108d agoexcluded
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceMED SELL Argentina @ 99.9¢ $121.5k0% jk120 NEW108d agoexcluded
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL Argentina @ 99.9¢ $104.0k
6.5× usual
0% stockpicks108d agoexcluded
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL Argentina @ 99.9¢ $12.8k0% Ma999108d agoexcluded
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceMED SELL Argentina @ 34¢ $39.4k
2.0× usual
66% suntori LOSING108d agoexcluded