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What this means. A wallet put $100.0k on Mexico, at a price that gave it a 49% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 11 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advanceexcluded
$100.0k
BUY Mexico @ 49¢ · 204,082 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet thegreatjeff took Mexico (buy) for $100.0k at an average 49¢. At that price the market implied a 49% chance for that side. The market resolved England. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $100.0k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 49¢ means
49%chance the market gave
+104American odds
$1.00paid per share if Mexico wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
49¢
Implied odds
49.0%
As American odds
+104 no vig
Size
$100.0k
Placed
Jul 05, 19:57 EDT
Market close
Jul 05, 20:00 EDT
Result
England
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
thegreatjeff
Tx
0x42bc62d5…
This wallet's graded record
5/11-14.2 pts
expected 6.6 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -49 pts
Mexico price · entry 49¢ · resolved England
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 49¢ · $100.0k WHALE $100.0K @ 49¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL England @ 99.9¢ $23.6k0% suntori LOSING110d agoexcluded
Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL England @ 99.9¢ $14.8k0% 0x6978…9897110d agoexcluded
Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL England @ 99.9¢ $15.1k0% Alirezawx110d agoexcluded
Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL England @ 99.9¢ $17.6k0% 0xb7f9…fc82110d agoexcluded
Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL England @ 99.9¢ $39.7k0% blket110d agoexcluded
Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL England @ 99.9¢ $22.2k0% Djdjdjekekek110d agoexcluded