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What this means. A wallet put $20.2k on not Iga Swiatek, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakinaexcluded
$20.2k
SELL Iga Swiatek @ 99.9¢ · 20,172 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet 0xd104…710b took Iga Swiatek (sell) for $20.2k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Iga Swiatek. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $20.2k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
99.9¢
Implied odds
0.1%
Size
$20.2k
Placed
Aug 20, 19:45 EDT
Market close
Aug 20, 19:05 EDT
Result
Iga Swiatek
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
0xd104…710b
Tx
0x4032261e…
This wallet's graded record
0/3-49.3 pts
expected 1.5 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -0 pts
Iga Swiatek price · entry 99.9¢ · resolved Iga Swiatek · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 99.9¢ · $20.2k WHALE $20.2K @ 99.9¢
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena RybakinaLOW SELL Iga Swiatek @ 99.9¢ $38.4k0% 00XyXyzzyxzzqyej233j2j3265d agoexcluded
Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena RybakinaMED SELL Iga Swiatek @ 99.9¢ $2.13M
12.9× usual
0% Djdjdjekekek65d agoexcluded
Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena RybakinaLOW SELL Iga Swiatek @ 99.9¢ $16.5k0% alaskabaked65d agoexcluded
Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena RybakinaLOW SELL Iga Swiatek @ 99¢ $16.5k1% RDXR65d agoexcluded
Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena RybakinaMED BUY Iga Swiatek @ 84¢ $40.6k84% 0x2c33…056365d agoexcluded
Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena RybakinaLOW BUY Iga Swiatek @ 81¢ $23.8k81% hurrican65d agoexcluded