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What this means. A wallet put $207.7k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 46% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-09-05?excluded
$207.7k
BUY Yes @ 46¢ · 450,000 shares in 6 fills
Size ≥ $100k6 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet ripley86alien took Yes (buy) for $207.7k at an average 46¢. At that price the market implied a 46% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $207.7k+2
6 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 46¢ means
46%chance the market gave
+117American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
46¢
Implied odds
46.2%
As American odds
+117 no vig
Size
$207.7k
Placed
Sep 05, 08:52 EDT
Market close
Sep 05, 09:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
ripley86alien
Tx
0x401034a3…

Entry to resolution

Grade -46 pts
Yes price · entry 46¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 46¢ · $207.7k WHALE $207.7K @ 46¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-09-05?LOW BUY No @ 59¢ $11.1k59% Flaznorp49d agoexcluded
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-09-05?LOW BUY Yes @ 45¢ $24.3k45% 0x2c33…056349d agoexcluded
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-09-05?LOW BUY Yes @ 45¢ $11.7k45% ferrariChampions202649d agoexcluded
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-09-05?MED BUY No @ 55¢ $47.3k55% Bloodygoodrep149d agoexcluded
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-09-05?MED BUY No @ 51¢ $31.2k51% Bloodygoodrep149d agocalled
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-09-05?LOW BUY Yes @ 51¢ $27.9k51% 0xDigitalOil49d agomissed