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What this means. A wallet put $207.7k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 46% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$207.7k
BUY Yes @ 46¢ · 450,000 shares in 6 fills
Size ≥ $100k6 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet ripley86alien took Yes (buy) for $207.7k at an average 46¢. At that price the market implied a 46% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $207.7k+2
6 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 46¢ means
46%chance the market gave
+117American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 46¢
- Implied odds
- 46.2%
- As American odds
- +117 no vig
- Size
- $207.7k
- Placed
- Sep 05, 08:52 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 05, 09:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- ripley86alien
- Tx
- 0x401034a3…
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -46 ptsYes price · entry 46¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY No @ 59¢ | $11.1k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 45¢ | $24.3k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 45¢ | $11.7k | excluded | |
| MED BUY No @ 55¢ | $47.3k | excluded | |
| MED BUY No @ 51¢ | $31.2k | called | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 51¢ | $27.9k | missed |