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What this means. A wallet put $22.0k on Norway, at a price that gave it a 36% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 9 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$22.0k
BUY Norway @ 36¢ · 62,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet Hugewinner took Norway (buy) for $22.0k at an average 36¢. At that price the market implied a 36% chance for that side. The market resolved England, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $22.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 36¢ means
36%chance the market gave
+182American odds
$1.00paid per share if Norway wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 36¢
- Implied odds
- 35.5%
- As American odds
- +182 no vig
- Size
- $22.0k
- Placed
- Jul 10, 17:13 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 11, 17:00 EDT
- Result
- England
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Hugewinner
- Tx
- 0x3db9d4f7…
This wallet's graded record
3/9-9.4 pts
expected 3.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -36 ptsNorway price · entry 36¢ · resolved England
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL England @ 99.8¢ | $148.5k 3.7× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL England @ 99.8¢ | $168.7k 2.8× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL England @ 99.8¢ | $16.2k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL England @ 99.8¢ | $11.9k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL England @ 99.8¢ | $12.1k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL England @ 99.8¢ | $11.0k | excluded |