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What this means. A wallet put $12.9k on Carlos Alcaraz, at a price that gave it a 86% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.9k
BUY Carlos Alcaraz @ 86¢ · 15,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet flatbarrel took Carlos Alcaraz (buy) for $12.9k at an average 86¢. At that price the market implied a 86% chance for that side. The market resolved Ben Shelton. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.9k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 86¢ means
86%chance the market gave
−614American odds
$1.00paid per share if Carlos Alcaraz wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 86¢
- Implied odds
- 86.0%
- As American odds
- −614 no vig
- Size
- $12.9k
- Placed
- Sep 09, 00:24 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 08, 23:00 EDT
- Result
- Ben Shelton
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- flatbarrel
- Tx
- 0x3a6413ae…
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -86 ptsCarlos Alcaraz price · entry 86¢ · resolved Ben Shelton
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz | LOW SELL Ben Shelton @ 99.9¢ | $21.2k | excluded |
| US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz | LOW SELL Ben Shelton @ 99.9¢ | $11.8k | excluded |
| US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz | LOW BUY Ben Shelton @ 89¢ | $13.7k | excluded |
| US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz | LOW BUY Ben Shelton @ 45¢ | $22.7k | excluded |
| US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz | LOW BUY Carlos Alcaraz @ 63¢ | $11.3k | excluded |
| US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz | LOW SELL Carlos Alcaraz @ 59¢ | $13.2k | excluded |
Same game on Kalshi
Kalshi is a separate US exchange for the same kind of yes/no prices. These are large trades or sudden odds moves we flagged there on this same game. Kalshi doesn't show who traded.
| YES Carlos Alcaraz | $15.6k | 78¢ | 45d ago |