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What this means. A wallet put $16.1k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 80% chance. It won. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+5.3 pts over 25 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$16.1k
BUY Yes @ 80¢ · 20,103 shares
Size ≥ $10kProven walletSports
What happened
Wallet nigiri99 took Yes (buy) for $16.1k at an average 80¢. At that price the market implied a 80% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $16.1k+0
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 80¢ means
80%chance the market gave
−400American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 80¢
- Implied odds
- 80.0%
- As American odds
- −400 no vig
- Size
- $16.1k
- Placed
- Aug 27, 00:39 EDT
- Market close
- Aug 27, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- nigiri99
- Tx
- 0x37da2c3a…
This wallet's graded record
17/25+5.3 pts
expected 15.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +20 ptsYes price · entry 80¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $22.5k | excluded | |
| MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $501.7k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $56.2k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 97.5¢ | $12.1k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 90¢ | $22.3k | excluded | |
| MED SELL Yes @ 89¢ | $11.0k | excluded |