← Live flags
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $45.8k on No, at a price that gave it a 35% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+11.3 pts over 67 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?excluded$45.8k
BUY No @ 35¢ · 130,894 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog side2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Proven wallet2.2× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet omnibus-076daa took No (buy) for $45.8k at an average 35¢. At that price the market implied a 35% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $45.8k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
2 fills within 1h+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 35¢ means
35%chance the market gave
+186American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 35¢
- Implied odds
- 35.0%
- As American odds
- +186 no vig
- Size
- $45.8k
- Placed
- Jun 15, 14:40 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 15, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- omnibus-076daa
- Tx
- 0x37296fdb…
This wallet's graded record
39/67+11.3 pts
expected 31.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +65 ptsNo price · entry 35¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $199.8k 6.7× usual |
excluded |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $78.1k | excluded |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $159.8k 6.9× usual |
excluded |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $92.9k 2.5× usual |
excluded |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $186.9k 8.9× usual |
excluded |