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What this means. A wallet put $62.6k on not Natus Vincere, at a price that gave it a 19% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$62.6k
SELL Natus Vincere @ 81¢ · 77,292 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog side3.5× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet Sickasulu took Natus Vincere (sell) for $62.6k at an average 81¢. At that price the market implied a 19% chance for that side. The market resolved Natus Vincere, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $62.6k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 81¢
- Implied odds
- 19.0%
- As American odds
- +426 no vig
- Size
- $62.6k
- Placed
- May 17, 12:30 EDT
- Market close
- May 17, 14:25 EDT
- Result
- Natus Vincere
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Sickasulu
- Tx
- 0x37286ef1…
This wallet's graded record
1/5-26.2 pts
expected 2.3 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -19 ptsNatus Vincere price · entry 81¢ · resolved Natus Vincere · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Natus Vincere @ 99.9¢ | $25.1k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Natus Vincere @ 99.9¢ | $10.8k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Natus Vincere @ 99.9¢ | $33.0k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Natus Vincere @ 92¢ | $40.7k 2.3× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY Natus Vincere @ 83¢ | $12.4k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Natus Vincere @ 82¢ | $13.9k | excluded |