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What this means. A wallet put $62.6k on not Natus Vincere, at a price that gave it a 19% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsmissed
$62.6k
SELL Natus Vincere @ 81¢ · 77,292 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog side3.5× this wallet's usual betSports

What happened

Wallet Sickasulu took Natus Vincere (sell) for $62.6k at an average 81¢. At that price the market implied a 19% chance for that side. The market resolved Natus Vincere, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $62.6k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
81¢
Implied odds
19.0%
As American odds
+426 no vig
Size
$62.6k
Placed
May 17, 12:30 EDT
Market close
May 17, 14:25 EDT
Result
Natus Vincere
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
Sickasulu
Tx
0x37286ef1…
This wallet's graded record
1/5-26.2 pts
expected 2.3 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade -19 pts
Natus Vincere price · entry 81¢ · resolved Natus Vincere · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 81¢ · $62.6k WHALE $62.6K @ 81¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - IEM Atlanta PlayoffsLOW SELL Natus Vincere @ 99.9¢ $25.1k0% 0xd57b…c48f159d agoexcluded
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - IEM Atlanta PlayoffsLOW SELL Natus Vincere @ 99.9¢ $10.8k0% arlanta160d agoexcluded
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - IEM Atlanta PlayoffsLOW SELL Natus Vincere @ 99.9¢ $33.0k0% kahe160d agoexcluded
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - IEM Atlanta PlayoffsLOW BUY Natus Vincere @ 92¢ $40.7k
2.3× usual
92% kahe160d agoexcluded
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - IEM Atlanta PlayoffsLOW BUY Natus Vincere @ 83¢ $12.4k83% MeiGuNiuBi160d agoexcluded
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - IEM Atlanta PlayoffsLOW BUY Natus Vincere @ 82¢ $13.9k82% boomudaed160d agoexcluded