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What this means. A wallet put $91.1k on San Jose State, at a price that gave it a 81% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 6 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
San Jose State vs. Hawai'iexcluded
$91.1k
BUY San Jose State @ 81¢ · 112,478 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)4.2× this wallet's usual betSports

What happened

Wallet omoi0i0 took San Jose State (buy) for $91.1k at an average 81¢. At that price the market implied a 81% chance for that side. The market resolved San Jose State. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $91.1k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 81¢ means
81%chance the market gave
−426American odds
$1.00paid per share if San Jose State wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
81¢
Implied odds
81.0%
As American odds
−426 no vig
Size
$91.1k
Placed
Oct 04, 01:16 EDT
Market close
Oct 04, 00:00 EDT
Result
San Jose State
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
omoi0i0
Tx
0x35b26201…
This wallet's graded record
4/6+5.7 pts
expected 3.7 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade +19 pts
San Jose State price · entry 81¢ · resolved San Jose State
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 81¢ · $91.1k WHALE $91.1K @ 81¢
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
San Jose State vs. Hawai'iLOW BUY San Jose State @ 81¢ $40.0k
2.1× usual
81% takeormake20d agoexcluded
San Jose State vs. Hawai'iMED BUY Hawaii @ 57¢ $81.0k
3.4× usual
57% 0xb4f9…c9a720d agoexcluded
San Jose State vs. Hawai'iLOW BUY San Jose State @ 43¢ $55.2k43% primm20d agoexcluded

Same game on Kalshi

Kalshi is a separate US exchange for the same kind of yes/no prices. These are large trades or sudden odds moves we flagged there on this same game. Kalshi doesn't show who traded.

YES Hawai'i$37.3k28¢20d ago
YES San Jose St.$23.2k85¢20d ago
YES San Jose St.$53.6k84¢20d ago
NO Hawai'i$65.1k84¢20d ago
YES San Jose St.$48.4k83¢20d ago
YES San Jose St.$16.3k80¢20d ago
YES San Jose St.$12.1k77¢20d ago
YES San Jose St.$16.6k75¢20d ago