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San Jose State vs. Hawai'iexcluded
What this means. A wallet put $91.1k on San Jose State, at a price that gave it a 81% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 6 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$91.1k
BUY San Jose State @ 81¢ · 112,478 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)4.2× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet omoi0i0 took San Jose State (buy) for $91.1k at an average 81¢. At that price the market implied a 81% chance for that side. The market resolved San Jose State. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $91.1k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 81¢ means
81%chance the market gave
−426American odds
$1.00paid per share if San Jose State wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 81¢
- Implied odds
- 81.0%
- As American odds
- −426 no vig
- Size
- $91.1k
- Placed
- Oct 04, 01:16 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 04, 00:00 EDT
- Result
- San Jose State
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- omoi0i0
- Tx
- 0x35b26201…
This wallet's graded record
4/6+5.7 pts
expected 3.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +19 ptsSan Jose State price · entry 81¢ · resolved San Jose State
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY San Jose State @ 81¢ | $40.0k 2.1× usual |
excluded | |
| MED BUY Hawaii @ 57¢ | $81.0k 3.4× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY San Jose State @ 43¢ | $55.2k | excluded |
Same game on Kalshi
Kalshi is a separate US exchange for the same kind of yes/no prices. These are large trades or sudden odds moves we flagged there on this same game. Kalshi doesn't show who traded.
| YES Hawai'i | $37.3k | 28¢ | 20d ago |
| YES San Jose St. | $23.2k | 85¢ | 20d ago |
| YES San Jose St. | $53.6k | 84¢ | 20d ago |
| NO Hawai'i | $65.1k | 84¢ | 20d ago |
| YES San Jose St. | $48.4k | 83¢ | 20d ago |
| YES San Jose St. | $16.3k | 80¢ | 20d ago |
| YES San Jose St. | $12.1k | 77¢ | 20d ago |
| YES San Jose St. | $16.6k | 75¢ | 20d ago |