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Nuggets vs. Thunderexcluded
What this means. A wallet put $10.7k on not Nuggets, at a price that gave it a 43% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Nuggets vs. Thunderexcluded$10.7k
SELL Nuggets @ 57¢ · 18,836 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet 0xLegend took Nuggets (sell) for $10.7k at an average 57¢. At that price the market implied a 43% chance for that side. The market resolved Thunder. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.7k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 57¢
- Implied odds
- 43.1%
- As American odds
- +132 no vig
- Size
- $10.7k
- Placed
- Feb 27, 22:14 EST
- Market close
- Feb 27, 21:30 EST
- Result
- Thunder
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0xLegend
- Tx
- 0x3201315e…
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Entry to resolution
Grade +57 ptsNuggets price · entry 57¢ · resolved Thunder · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nuggets vs. Thunder | LOW SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢ | $166.7k 6.0× usual |
excluded |
| Nuggets vs. Thunder | LOW BUY Thunder @ 99.9¢ | $79.9k 2.7× usual |
excluded |
| Nuggets vs. Thunder | LOW BUY Thunder @ 99.9¢ | $34.5k | excluded |
| Nuggets vs. Thunder | LOW BUY Thunder @ 99¢ | $12.7k | excluded |
| Nuggets vs. Thunder | LOW BUY Thunder @ 90¢ | $11.6k | excluded |
| Nuggets vs. Thunder | LOW SELL Thunder @ 89¢ | $12.4k | excluded |