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What this means. A wallet put $20.3k on No, at a price that gave it a 34% chance. It won. This wallet has only 11 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$20.3k
BUY No @ 34¢ · 59,260 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet Pajamapants took No (buy) for $20.3k at an average 34¢. At that price the market implied a 34% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $20.3k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 34¢ means
34%chance the market gave
+192American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 34¢
- Implied odds
- 34.2%
- Size
- $20.3k
- Placed
- May 23, 18:01 EDT
- Market close
- May 30, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Pajamapants
- Tx
- 0x31c8deee…
This wallet's graded record
10/11+27.4 pts
expected 7.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +66 ptsNo price · entry 34¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $24.8k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.9k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $100.1k 4.0× usual |
excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $16.6k | excluded |