← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $12.2k on not No, at a price that gave it a 49% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.2k
SELL No @ 51¢ · 23,753 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet chungguskhan took No (sell) for $12.2k at an average 51¢. At that price the market implied a 49% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.2k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 51¢
- Implied odds
- 48.7%
- Size
- $12.2k
- Placed
- Jan 12, 17:19 EST
- Market close
- Jan 30, 19:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- chungguskhan
- Tx
- 0x2f681c93…
This wallet's graded record
1/3-24.4 pts
expected 1.7 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.2k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $15.4k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $98.4k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $12.4k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $28.7k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $14.8k | excluded |