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US recession in 2025?called
What this means. A wallet put $10.8k on No, at a price that gave it a 54% chance. It won. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
US recession in 2025?called$10.8k
BUY No @ 54¢ · 20,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Economy
What happened
Wallet SemyonMarmeladov took No (buy) for $10.8k at an average 54¢. At that price the market implied a 54% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.8k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 54¢ means
54%chance the market gave
−116American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 54¢
- Implied odds
- 53.8%
- Size
- $10.8k
- Placed
- May 12, 03:11 EDT
- Market close
- Jan 01, 04:23 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- SemyonMarmeladov
- Tx
- 0x2ebf10b0…
This wallet's graded record
3/7-4.3 pts
expected 3.3 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| US recession in 2025? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $124.6k 5.1× usual |
excluded |
| US recession in 2025? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $38.5k | excluded |
| US recession in 2025? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $38.9k | excluded |
| US recession in 2025? | LOW SELL No @ 98.7¢ | $18.1k | excluded |
| US recession in 2025? | LOW BUY No @ 99¢ | $18.1k | excluded |
| US recession in 2025? | LOW BUY No @ 98.4¢ | $12.4k | excluded |