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What this means. A wallet put $21.1k on not No, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$21.1k
SELL No @ 99.8¢ · 21,181 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Other
What happened
Wallet kgvdotcom took No (sell) for $21.1k at an average 99.8¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $21.1k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.8¢
- Implied odds
- 0.2%
- Size
- $21.1k
- Placed
- Feb 01, 22:39 EST
- Market close
- Jan 31, 19:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- kgvdotcom
- Tx
- 0x2dfcb4f3…
This wallet's graded record
3/3+4.6 pts
expected 2.9 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $48.3k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $21.1k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $22.7k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $17.0k | excluded |