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What this means. A wallet put $17.7k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 50% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+11.4 pts over 20 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$17.7k
BUY Yes @ 50¢ · 35,327 shares
Size ≥ $10kProven walletSports
What happened
Wallet RegardedMoney took Yes (buy) for $17.7k at an average 50¢. At that price the market implied a 50% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $17.7k+0
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 50¢ means
50%chance the market gave
−100American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 50¢
- Implied odds
- 50.0%
- As American odds
- −100 no vig
- Size
- $17.7k
- Placed
- Jul 04, 11:15 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 04, 13:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- RegardedMoney
- Tx
- 0x2cacca8a…
This wallet's graded record
13/20+11.4 pts
expected 10.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -50 ptsYes price · entry 50¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Canada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score | LOW BUY Yes @ 28¢ | $22.7k | excluded |
| Canada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score | LOW BUY No @ 66¢ | $14.5k | excluded |
| Canada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score | LOW BUY Yes @ 44¢ | $14.5k | excluded |
| Canada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score | MED BUY No @ 51¢ | $50.5k 2.7× usual |
excluded |
| Canada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score | LOW BUY Yes @ 50¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
| Canada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score | LOW BUY Yes @ 50¢ | $20.0k | excluded |