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What this means. A wallet put $19.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 93% chance. It won. This wallet has a losing record: -18.2 pts vs the price over 26 bets. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?called
$19.0k
BUY Yes @ 93¢ · 20,481 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteSports

What happened

Wallet suntori took Yes (buy) for $19.0k at an average 93¢. At that price the market implied a 93% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $19.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 93¢ means
93%chance the market gave
−1329American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
93¢
Implied odds
93.0%
As American odds
−1329 no vig
Size
$19.0k
Placed
Jul 19, 17:56 EDT
Market close
Jul 19, 20:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
suntori
Tx
0x2b9dfff6…
This wallet's graded record
10/26-18.2 pts
expected 14.7 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade +7 pts
Yes price · entry 93¢ · resolved Yes
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 93¢ · $19.0k WHALE $19.0K @ 93¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $35.7k0% Deido97d agoexcluded
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $43.0k0% neymar197d agoexcluded
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $26.7k0% 0x929a…a3d897d agoexcluded
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $100.3k0% Djdjdjekekek97d agoexcluded
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $64.7k0% 0x37ee…f86f97d agoexcluded
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $20.5k0% Nihaww97d agoexcluded