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Will England win on 2026-06-23?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $1.03M on Yes, at a price that gave it a 84% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has a losing record: -19.3 pts vs the price over 28 bets. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will England win on 2026-06-23?excluded$1.03M
BUY Yes @ 84¢ · 1,221,402 shares in 7 fills
Size ≥ $250k7 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)16.6× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet surfandturf took Yes (buy) for $1.03M at an average 84¢. At that price the market implied a 84% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $1.03M+3
7 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 84¢ means
84%chance the market gave
−524American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 84¢
- Implied odds
- 84.0%
- As American odds
- −524 no vig
- Size
- $1.03M
- Placed
- Jun 23, 16:05 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 23, 16:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- surfandturf
- Tx
- 0x2b470a7d…
This wallet's graded record
10/28-19.3 pts
expected 15.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -84 ptsYes price · entry 84¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $89.9k 3.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? | LOW SELL No @ 99¢ | $20.9k | excluded |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? | LOW SELL No @ 99¢ | $15.2k | excluded |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? | LOW SELL No @ 99¢ | $15.4k | excluded |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? | LOW BUY No @ 99¢ | $48.1k | excluded |