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Timberwolves vs. Spursmissed
What this means. A wallet put $11.5k on Timberwolves, at a price that gave it a 23% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 18 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Timberwolves vs. Spursmissed$11.5k
BUY Timberwolves @ 23¢ · 50,183 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideSports
What happened
Wallet Soarin22 took Timberwolves (buy) for $11.5k at an average 23¢. At that price the market implied a 23% chance for that side. The market resolved Spurs, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $11.5k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 23¢ means
23%chance the market gave
+335American odds
$1.00paid per share if Timberwolves wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 23¢
- Implied odds
- 23.0%
- As American odds
- +335 no vig
- Size
- $11.5k
- Placed
- May 11, 18:00 EDT
- Market close
- May 12, 00:00 EDT
- Result
- Spurs
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Soarin22
- Tx
- 0x2ac28b8c…
This wallet's graded record
10/18+2.7 pts
expected 9.5 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -23 ptsTimberwolves price · entry 23¢ · resolved Spurs
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | LOW SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢ | $13.0k | excluded |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | LOW SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢ | $23.3k | excluded |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | LOW SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢ | $28.3k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | LOW SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢ | $52.0k | excluded |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | LOW BUY Spurs @ 99.9¢ | $150.0k | excluded |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | LOW SELL Spurs @ 99.8¢ | $28.4k | excluded |