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What this means. A wallet put $13.4k on Carlos Alcaraz, at a price that gave it a 66% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+11.3 pts over 67 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$13.4k
BUY Carlos Alcaraz @ 66¢ · 20,373 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Proven walletSports
What happened
Wallet omnibus-076daa took Carlos Alcaraz (buy) for $13.4k at an average 66¢. At that price the market implied a 66% chance for that side. The market resolved Zizou Bergs. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $13.4k+0
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 66¢ means
66%chance the market gave
−194American odds
$1.00paid per share if Carlos Alcaraz wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 66¢
- Implied odds
- 66.0%
- As American odds
- −194 no vig
- Size
- $13.4k
- Placed
- Oct 12, 07:12 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 12, 06:10 EDT
- Result
- Zizou Bergs
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- omnibus-076daa
- Tx
- 0x29684c54…
This wallet's graded record
39/67+11.3 pts
expected 31.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -66 ptsCarlos Alcaraz price · entry 66¢ · resolved Zizou Bergs
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Zizou Bergs @ 99.9¢ | $14.0k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Carlos Alcaraz @ 53¢ | $10.0k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Carlos Alcaraz @ 65¢ | $20.1k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Carlos Alcaraz @ 64¢ | $10.0k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Carlos Alcaraz @ 93¢ | $34.2k | missed | |
| LOW BUY Carlos Alcaraz @ 92.7¢ | $18.0k | missed |