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What this means. A wallet put $14.8k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 59% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will England win on 2026-06-17?excluded
$14.8k
BUY Yes @ 59¢ · 25,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet luisarraez took Yes (buy) for $14.8k at an average 59¢. At that price the market implied a 59% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $14.8k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 59¢ means
59%chance the market gave
−144American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
59¢
Implied odds
59.0%
As American odds
−144 no vig
Size
$14.8k
Placed
Jun 17, 16:02 EDT
Market close
Jun 17, 16:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
luisarraez
Tx
0x285fb8ac…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+25.0 pts
expected 0.8 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade +41 pts
Yes price · entry 59¢ · resolved Yes
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 59¢ · $14.8k WHALE $14.8K @ 59¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will England win on 2026-06-17?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $13.5k0% 0xcf60…a6f5128d agoexcluded
Will England win on 2026-06-17?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $21.4k0% Hongweiqian128d agoexcluded
Will England win on 2026-06-17?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $15.1k0% suntori LOSING128d agoexcluded
Will England win on 2026-06-17?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $73.5k0% 0x3dfb…abaf128d agoexcluded
Will England win on 2026-06-17?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $13.7k0% 0xcd8c…b750128d agoexcluded
Will England win on 2026-06-17?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $73.1k
2.9× usual
0% 0xfdf6…00a1128d agoexcluded