← Live flags
Polymarket · Politics · one bet
OpenResolves Nov 3
$10.2k
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
ClauseAI bought Yes at 34¢. The price gave that side a 34% chance. 30,000 shares, Oct 28, 12:20 EDT.
Plain exchange link. No referral code.
What this means. A wallet put $10.2k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 34% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet
What happened
Wallet ClauseAI bought Yes for $10.2k at an average 34¢. At that price the market implied 34% for the side they took. Open: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It still counts toward the score.
[02] Flag
Why it was flagged
Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology
Size $10.2k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Politics
What 34¢ means
34%chance the market gave
+194American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
[04] Price
Price since the bet
Price since this bet
Since entry -1.5 ptsYes price · entry 34¢ · now 32¢
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | LOW BUY No @ 68¢ | $14.4k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | LOW BUY No @ 67¢ | $19.8k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |