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Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $50.0k on not No, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 9 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?excluded$50.0k
SELL No @ 99.9¢ · 50,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet 0x709e…66f5 took No (sell) for $50.0k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $50.0k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $50.0k
- Placed
- Jun 15, 17:48 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 15, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0x709e…66f5
- Tx
- 0x25b324d3…
This wallet's graded record
7/9+24.9 pts
expected 4.8 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $199.8k 6.7× usual |
excluded |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $78.1k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $159.8k 6.9× usual |
excluded |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $92.9k 2.5× usual |
excluded |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $186.9k 8.9× usual |
excluded |