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What this means. A wallet put $16.4k on not No, at a price that gave it a 4% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 8 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?missed
$16.4k
SELL No @ 95.6¢ · 17,178 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Crypto

What happened

Wallet x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081 took No (sell) for $16.4k at an average 95.6¢. At that price the market implied a 4% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $16.4k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
95.6¢
Implied odds
4.4%
Size
$16.4k
Placed
Feb 16, 08:38 EST
Market close
Mar 01, 00:00 EST
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081
Tx
0x2446e0d5…
This wallet's graded record
5/8+9.9 pts
expected 4.2 from price
Share this receipt

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ $11.4k0% 828238d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $14.6k0% 0x44ef…ff3d238d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $27.8k100% LucasMeow239d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $40.2k
2.6× usual
0% lzhlzh239d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $20.7k100% jwp9999240d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ $32.7k0% 0x1461…22d8240d agoexcluded