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What this means. A wallet put $14.6k on Argentina, at a price that gave it a 45% chance. It won. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+10.0 pts over 71 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$14.6k
BUY Argentina @ 45¢ · 32,347 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Proven walletSports
What happened
Wallet omnibus-076daa took Argentina (buy) for $14.6k at an average 45¢. At that price the market implied a 45% chance for that side. The market resolved Argentina, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $14.6k+0
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 45¢ means
45%chance the market gave
+122American odds
$1.00paid per share if Argentina wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 45¢
- Implied odds
- 45.0%
- As American odds
- +122 no vig
- Size
- $14.6k
- Placed
- Jul 13, 18:52 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 15, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Argentina
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- omnibus-076daa
- Tx
- 0x22b4cecb…
This wallet's graded record
41/71+10.0 pts
expected 33.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +55 ptsArgentina price · entry 45¢ · resolved Argentina
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ | $18.7k | excluded |
| England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ | $24.1k | excluded |
| England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ | $15.6k | excluded |
| England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ | $12.5k | excluded |
| England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ | $24.9k | excluded |