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Spread: Spain (-2.5)excluded
What this means. A wallet put $231.2k on Spain, at a price that gave it a 54% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Spread: Spain (-2.5)excluded$231.2k
BUY Spain @ 54¢ · 428,202 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $100k2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet perincet555 took Spain (buy) for $231.2k at an average 54¢. At that price the market implied a 54% chance for that side. The market resolved Cabo Verde. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $231.2k+2
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 54¢ means
54%chance the market gave
−117American odds
$1.00paid per share if Spain wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 54¢
- Implied odds
- 54.0%
- As American odds
- −117 no vig
- Size
- $231.2k
- Placed
- Jun 15, 11:46 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 15, 12:00 EDT
- Result
- Cabo Verde
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- perincet555
- Tx
- 0x2196cad3…
This wallet's graded record
2/2+53.3 pts
expected 0.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -54 ptsSpain price · entry 54¢ · resolved Cabo Verde
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | LOW SELL Cabo Verde @ 99.9¢ | $11.1k | excluded |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | LOW SELL Cabo Verde @ 99.9¢ | $44.7k | excluded |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | LOW SELL Cabo Verde @ 66¢ | $15.7k | excluded |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | HIGH BUY Spain @ 53¢ | $106.0k 3.9× usual |
excluded |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | LOW BUY Spain @ 53¢ | $16.7k | excluded |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | HIGH BUY Cabo Verde @ 44¢ | $3.38M | excluded |