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Hornets vs. Magicexcluded
What this means. A wallet put $19.3k on Magic, at a price that gave it a 43% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 6 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$19.3k
BUY Magic @ 43¢ · 45,063 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet test124566 took Magic (buy) for $19.3k at an average 43¢. At that price the market implied a 43% chance for that side. The market resolved Magic. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $19.3k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 43¢ means
43%chance the market gave
+133American odds
$1.00paid per share if Magic wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 43¢
- Implied odds
- 42.9%
- As American odds
- +133 no vig
- Size
- $19.3k
- Placed
- Apr 17, 19:25 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 17, 19:30 EDT
- Result
- Magic
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- test124566
- Tx
- 0x1fe5c1bc…
This wallet's graded record
4/6+3.7 pts
expected 3.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +57 ptsMagic price · entry 43¢ · resolved Magic
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Magic @ 99.9¢ | $10.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Magic @ 99.9¢ | $28.2k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Magic @ 99.9¢ | $16.7k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Magic @ 99.9¢ | $152.3k 6.0× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY Magic @ 99.8¢ | $24.3k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Magic @ 99.8¢ | $10.0k | excluded |