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What this means. A wallet put $19.3k on Magic, at a price that gave it a 43% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 6 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Hornets vs. Magicexcluded
$19.3k
BUY Magic @ 43¢ · 45,063 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet test124566 took Magic (buy) for $19.3k at an average 43¢. At that price the market implied a 43% chance for that side. The market resolved Magic. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $19.3k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 43¢ means
43%chance the market gave
+133American odds
$1.00paid per share if Magic wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
43¢
Implied odds
42.9%
As American odds
+133 no vig
Size
$19.3k
Placed
Apr 17, 19:25 EDT
Market close
Apr 17, 19:30 EDT
Result
Magic
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
test124566
Tx
0x1fe5c1bc…
This wallet's graded record
4/6+3.7 pts
expected 3.8 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade +57 pts
Magic price · entry 43¢ · resolved Magic
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 43¢ · $19.3k WHALE $19.3K @ 43¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Hornets vs. MagicLOW SELL Magic @ 99.9¢ $10.0k0% 0x847f…9dd2189d agoexcluded
Hornets vs. MagicLOW SELL Magic @ 99.9¢ $28.2k0% Gh0stTradez189d agoexcluded
Hornets vs. MagicLOW SELL Magic @ 99.9¢ $16.7k0% CameronSc189d agoexcluded
Hornets vs. MagicLOW BUY Magic @ 99.9¢ $152.3k
6.0× usual
100% silenceOfTheLambs189d agoexcluded
Hornets vs. MagicLOW BUY Magic @ 99.8¢ $24.3k100% Jackenxand189d agoexcluded
Hornets vs. MagicLOW BUY Magic @ 99.8¢ $10.0k100% 0x847f…9dd2189d agoexcluded