← Live flags
Polymarket · Politics · one bet
OpenResolves Nov 3
$13.8k
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
0xcf19…6402 sold Yes at 72¢. Their side is the other outcome, which the price gave a 28% chance. 19,203 shares, Oct 29, 09:57 EDT.
Plain exchange link. No referral code.
What this means. A wallet put $13.8k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 28% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet
What happened
Wallet 0xcf19…6402 sold Yes for $13.8k at an average 72¢. At that price the market implied 28% for the side they took. Open: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It still counts toward the score.
[02] Flag
Why it was flagged
Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology
Size $13.8k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Politics
[04] Price
Price since the bet
Price since this bet
Since entry -0.5 ptsYes price · entry 72¢ · now 72¢ · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Related news
Same names, last 7 daysFarmer-funded attack ads targeting Republicans air across rural AmericaReuters · Google News · 1h agoMassachusetts Republicans are bracing for a tough election on TuesdayWBUR · Google News · 9h agoWhy Republicans might beat the polls in the midterm electionsVox · Google News · 9h agoSome Texas Republicans cross party lines to support TalaricoSpectrum News · Google News · 19h ago
Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 72¢ | $13.0k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |