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What this means. A wallet put $25.9k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 92% chance. It won. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$25.9k
SELL Yes @ 8.3¢ · 313,832 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Fresh walletSports
What happened
Wallet 0xfc4f…9bb0 took Yes (sell) for $25.9k at an average 8.3¢. At that price the market implied a 92% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $25.9k+1
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 8.3¢
- Implied odds
- 91.7%
- As American odds
- −1110 no vig
- Size
- $25.9k
- Placed
- Jun 26, 17:45 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 06, 20:12 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0xfc4f…9bb0
- Tx
- 0x1bf252be…
This wallet's graded record
1/2-14.7 pts
expected 1.3 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +8 ptsYes price · entry 8.3¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $22.5k | excluded |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.0k | excluded |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $39.0k | excluded |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.6k | excluded |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $22.1k | excluded |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 98.5¢ | $13.3k | excluded |