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What this means. A wallet put $1.57M on Yes, at a price that gave it a 79% chance. It won. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$1.57M
BUY Yes @ 79¢ · 1,984,812 shares in 11 fills
Size ≥ $250k11 fills in 1hSports
What happened
Wallet joseph00677 took Yes (buy) for $1.57M at an average 79¢. At that price the market implied a 79% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $1.57M+3
11 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 79¢ means
79%chance the market gave
−373American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 79¢
- Implied odds
- 78.9%
- As American odds
- −373 no vig
- Size
- $1.57M
- Placed
- Oct 06, 12:55 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 06, 14:45 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- joseph00677
- Tx
- 0x1b8f3e2a…
This wallet's graded record
0/2-59.2 pts
expected 1.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +21 ptsYes price · entry 79¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Spain win on 2026-10-06? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $1.95M | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-10-06? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $16.2k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-10-06? | LOW SELL Yes @ 94.6¢ | $10.5k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-10-06? | MED BUY Yes @ 96.7¢ | $82.6k 5.2× usual |
excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-10-06? | LOW SELL Yes @ 95.6¢ | $19.1k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-10-06? | LOW BUY Yes @ 92¢ | $17.8k | excluded |