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Xi Jinping out in 2025?called
What this means. A wallet put $99.8k on No, at a price that gave it a 93% chance. It won. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$99.8k
BUY No @ 93¢ · 107,264 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)5.4× this wallet's usual betOther
What happened
Wallet fi3nu8920-4 took No (buy) for $99.8k at an average 93¢. At that price the market implied a 93% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $99.8k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 93¢ means
93%chance the market gave
−1329American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 93¢
- Implied odds
- 93.0%
- Size
- $99.8k
- Placed
- Oct 19, 17:41 EDT
- Market close
- Dec 31, 18:55 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- fi3nu8920-4
- Tx
- 0x1b2d62d1…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+17.0 pts
expected 0.8 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $11.6k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.8k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $59.9k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $64.9k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $118.0k | excluded |