← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $10.5k on Miami Marlins, at a price that gave it a 68% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-2.7 pts over 21 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.5k
BUY Miami Marlins @ 68¢ · 15,486 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet neutralwave23 took Miami Marlins (buy) for $10.5k at an average 68¢. At that price the market implied a 68% chance for that side. The market resolved Miami Marlins. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.5k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 68¢ means
68%chance the market gave
−209American odds
$1.00paid per share if Miami Marlins wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 68¢
- Implied odds
- 67.6%
- As American odds
- −209 no vig
- Size
- $10.5k
- Placed
- Jun 09, 19:15 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 09, 18:40 EDT
- Result
- Miami Marlins
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- neutralwave23
- Tx
- 0x18487a40…
This wallet's graded record
13/21-2.7 pts
expected 13.6 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +32 ptsMiami Marlins price · entry 68¢ · resolved Miami Marlins
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins | MED SELL Miami Marlins @ 99.9¢ | $317.0k | excluded |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins | LOW SELL Miami Marlins @ 99.9¢ | $44.6k | excluded |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins | MED BUY Miami Marlins @ 56¢ | $75.6k 4.6× usual |
excluded |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins | LOW BUY Miami Marlins @ 56¢ | $25.0k | excluded |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins | MED BUY Miami Marlins @ 56¢ | $168.0k | called |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins | LOW BUY Arizona Diamondbacks @ 44¢ | $18.6k | missed |