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Polymarket · Sports · one bet

Excluded
$40.3k

LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner

jakepaulthegoat2008 bought Bilibili Gaming at 73¢. The price gave that side a 73% chance. 55,248 shares, Oct 29, 19:20 EDT.

What this means. A wallet put $40.3k on Bilibili Gaming, at a price that gave it a 73% chance. The market resolved Top Esports, and this bet is not graded. This wallet has only 18 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet

What happened

Wallet jakepaulthegoat2008 bought Bilibili Gaming for $40.3k at an average 73¢. At that price the market implied 73% for the side they took. The market resolved Top Esports. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

This wallet is 11 of 18 on graded bets, +4.1 pts versus the price. The sample is still short. Big is not the same as right.

[02] Flag

Why it was flagged

Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology

Size $40.3k+1
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What 73¢ means
73%chance the market gave
−269American odds
$1.00paid per share if Bilibili Gaming wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

[04] Price

Entry to resolution

Entry to resolution

Grade -73 pts
Bilibili Gaming price · entry 73¢ · resolved Top Esports
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 73¢ · $40.3k WHALE $40.3K @ 73¢
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Related news

Same names, last 7 days

Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules

[05]

Other flags on this market

Market page
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 WinnerLOW SELL Top Esports @ 99.9¢ $21.1k0% fantasy77887h agoExcluded
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 WinnerLOW SELL Top Esports @ 99.9¢ $14.9k0% Edu123457h agoExcluded
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 WinnerLOW SELL Top Esports @ 99.9¢ $30.0k0% Username21337h agoExcluded
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 WinnerLOW SELL Top Esports @ 99.9¢ $16.1k0% 0x1196…fe978h agoExcluded
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 WinnerLOW SELL Top Esports @ 99.9¢ $12.3k0% wintercome8h agoExcluded
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 WinnerLOW SELL Top Esports @ 99.9¢ $112.2k
6.3× usual
0% VPenguin8h agoExcluded