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What this means. A wallet put $15.2k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 16% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-1.8 pts over 37 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$15.2k
BUY Yes @ 16¢ · 93,259 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Economy
What happened
Wallet wan123 took Yes (buy) for $15.2k at an average 16¢. At that price the market implied a 16% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $15.2k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 16¢ means
16%chance the market gave
+512American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 16¢
- Implied odds
- 16.3%
- Size
- $15.2k
- Placed
- Jul 26, 12:40 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 28, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- wan123
- Tx
- 0x119da4fa…
This wallet's graded record
12/37-1.8 pts
expected 12.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -16 ptsYes price · entry 16¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $19.7k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $14.9k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $68.8k 2.9× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $27.2k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $264.6k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $20.5k | excluded |