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What this means. A wallet put $35.7k on not Norway, at a price that gave it a 59% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$35.7k
SELL Norway @ 41¢ · 88,004 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet ks2026 took Norway (sell) for $35.7k at an average 41¢. At that price the market implied a 59% chance for that side. The market resolved England. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $35.7k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 41¢
- Implied odds
- 59.4%
- As American odds
- −146 no vig
- Size
- $35.7k
- Placed
- Jul 11, 19:08 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 11, 17:00 EDT
- Result
- England
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- ks2026
- Tx
- 0x103d802e…
This wallet's graded record
0/2-56.5 pts
expected 1.1 from price
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Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL England @ 99.8¢ | $148.5k 3.7× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL England @ 99.8¢ | $168.7k 2.8× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL England @ 99.8¢ | $16.2k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL England @ 99.8¢ | $11.9k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL England @ 99.8¢ | $12.1k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL England @ 99.8¢ | $11.0k | excluded |