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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.1 wins, so it did -56.5 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-56.5 pts
Called / graded
0/2
Expected from price
1.1
Flagged volume
$209.5k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±35.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$123.9k
Last 30 days +$0 · $972.8k volume · 58 trades · since Jul 06, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$2,067
Open P&L · 14 positions
−$117.6k
Closed-position win rate
53%
15 closed
Wallet age · markets
110d
27 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 0 | 1.1 | -56.5 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | LOW BUY France @ 60¢ | $35.4k | missed |
| Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | MED SELL Argentina @ 68¢ | $36.8k | excluded |
| Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | LOW BUY Argentina @ 75¢ | $40.8k | called |
| Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Norway @ 41¢ | $35.7k | excluded |
| Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | LOW BUY Norway @ 56¢ | $49.7k | excluded |
| United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | LOW BUY United States @ 53¢ | $11.0k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xdd1088…