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US recession in 2025?missed
What this means. A wallet put $12.0k on not No, at a price that gave it a 64% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
US recession in 2025?missed$12.0k
SELL No @ 36¢ · 32,935 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Economy
What happened
Wallet 0x8365…e9a6 took No (sell) for $12.0k at an average 36¢. At that price the market implied a 64% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 36¢
- Implied odds
- 63.6%
- Size
- $12.0k
- Placed
- May 01, 17:48 EDT
- Market close
- Jan 01, 04:23 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x8365…e9a6
- Tx
- 0x0f123a0d…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-63.6 pts
expected 0.6 from price
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Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| US recession in 2025? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $124.6k 5.1× usual |
excluded |
| US recession in 2025? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $38.5k | excluded |
| US recession in 2025? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $38.9k | excluded |
| US recession in 2025? | LOW SELL No @ 98.7¢ | $18.1k | excluded |
| US recession in 2025? | LOW BUY No @ 99¢ | $18.1k | excluded |
| US recession in 2025? | LOW BUY No @ 98.4¢ | $12.4k | excluded |