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What this means. A wallet put $10.0k on not No, at a price that gave it a 1% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?excluded
$10.0k
SELL No @ 98.9¢ · 10,134 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Crypto

What happened

Wallet Egozic86 took No (sell) for $10.0k at an average 98.9¢. At that price the market implied a 1% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $10.0k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
98.9¢
Implied odds
1.1%
Size
$10.0k
Placed
Jan 25, 18:06 EST
Market close
Feb 01, 00:00 EST
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
Egozic86
Tx
0x0e5db8ee…
This wallet's graded record
3/7-3.3 pts
expected 3.2 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -1 pts
No price · entry 98.9¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 98.9¢ · $10.0k WHALE $10.0K @ 98.9¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $10.9k0% 0x0fe4…01b7265d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $10.0k100% 0x37ac…5f36266d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $20.0k100% Polygonooooor267d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $12.5k100% 0x8413…5af6267d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $16.9k0% Istaroth267d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $10.6k100% Hashbrown268d agoexcluded