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What this means. A wallet put $22.1k on No, at a price that gave it a 43% chance. It won. This wallet has only 11 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$22.1k
BUY No @ 43¢ · 51,405 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet RJW1 took No (buy) for $22.1k at an average 43¢. At that price the market implied a 43% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $22.1k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 43¢ means
43%chance the market gave
+133American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 43¢
- Implied odds
- 43.0%
- As American odds
- +133 no vig
- Size
- $22.1k
- Placed
- Jul 08, 12:19 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 11, 21:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- RJW1
- Tx
- 0x0df3ec86…
This wallet's graded record
10/11+43.8 pts
expected 5.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +57 ptsNo price · entry 43¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | MED SELL No @ 93.4¢ | $96.7k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | LOW SELL Yes @ 22¢ | $24.2k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | LOW BUY No @ 71¢ | $14.1k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | LOW BUY No @ 75¢ | $14.5k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | LOW BUY Yes @ 58¢ | $12.6k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | LOW SELL Yes @ 41¢ | $37.1k | excluded |