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What this means. A wallet put $17.5k on NC State, at a price that gave it a 50% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
NC State vs. Stanfordexcluded
$17.5k
BUY NC State @ 50¢ · 35,163 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet kkookkoo took NC State (buy) for $17.5k at an average 50¢. At that price the market implied a 50% chance for that side. The market resolved Stanford. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $17.5k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 50¢ means
50%chance the market gave
+101American odds
$1.00paid per share if NC State wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
50¢
Implied odds
49.8%
As American odds
+101 no vig
Size
$17.5k
Placed
Oct 24, 00:26 EDT
Market close
Oct 23, 22:30 EDT
Result
Stanford
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
kkookkoo
Tx
0x0c9c6a2c…
This wallet's graded record
0/4-45.2 pts
expected 1.8 from price
Share this receipt

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
NC State vs. StanfordLOW SELL Stanford @ 99.9¢ $10.6k0% Hashbrown19h agoexcluded
NC State vs. StanfordLOW BUY Stanford @ 99.9¢ $10.2k100% welcometowinnercircle19h agoexcluded
NC State vs. StanfordMED BUY NC State @ 55¢ $15.4k55% 778908 NEW22h agoexcluded
NC State vs. StanfordMED BUY Stanford @ 59¢ $81.5k
2.0× usual
59% 0x2c33…056322h agoexcluded
NC State vs. Stanfordexcluded
SELL Stanford @ 99.9¢$10.6k
LOW Hashbrown · 19h ago
NC State vs. Stanfordexcluded
BUY Stanford @ 99.9¢$10.2k
LOW welcometowinnercircle · 19h ago
NC State vs. Stanfordexcluded
BUY NC State @ 55¢$15.4k
MED New wallet 778908 · 22h ago
NC State vs. Stanfordexcluded
BUY Stanford @ 59¢$81.5k
MED 0x2c33…0563 · 22h ago

Whale money on this game, both venues

$10k+ trades we flagged on NC State vs. Stanford, added up per side across Polymarket and Kalshi. These are trade sizes, not open positions, and Kalshi doesn't show who traded, so one person could be on both venues.

Stanford 16 trades$372.6k
Polymarket $91.7kKalshi $280.9k
NC State 6 trades$92.1k
Polymarket $32.9k (this flag)Kalshi $59.2k

Bars are scaled to the bigger side. Activity, not a recommendation: big money on a side has not beaten the price on our scoreboard.

Same game on Kalshi

Kalshi is a separate US exchange for the same kind of yes/no prices. These are large trades or sudden odds moves we flagged there on this same game. Kalshi doesn't show who traded.

YES Stanford$12.5k96¢19h ago
YES Stanford wins by over 3.5 points odds move$95.1k80¢19h ago
YES Stanford odds move$5.63M95¢19h ago
NO Over 65.5 points$12.7k90.2¢19h ago
YES Stanford$19.6k95.8¢19h ago
YES Stanford$46.0k90¢19h ago
YES Stanford$43.0k86¢19h ago
YES Stanford$13.1k84¢19h ago