← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $12.9k on not No, at a price that gave it a 12% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 6 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.9k
SELL No @ 88¢ · 14,709 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet BruceWayne77 took No (sell) for $12.9k at an average 88¢. At that price the market implied a 12% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.9k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 88¢
- Implied odds
- 12.0%
- As American odds
- +733 no vig
- Size
- $12.9k
- Placed
- Sep 05, 08:50 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 05, 07:30 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- BruceWayne77
- Tx
- 0x0c4b379a…
This wallet's graded record
4/6+14.2 pts
expected 3.1 from price
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Entry to resolution
Grade -12 ptsNo price · entry 88¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY No @ 90¢ | $12.4k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Yes @ 46¢ | $45.0k | missed | |
| MED BUY Yes @ 46¢ | $46.0k | missed | |
| LOW BUY No @ 55¢ | $35.2k | called | |
| LOW BUY No @ 55¢ | $17.6k | called |