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What this means. A wallet put $23.2k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 10% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?missed
$23.2k
BUY Yes @ 10¢ · 221,032 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog side2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Sports

What happened

Wallet wco26 took Yes (buy) for $23.2k at an average 10¢. At that price the market implied a 10% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $23.2k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 10¢ means
10%chance the market gave
+852American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
10¢
Implied odds
10.5%
As American odds
+852 no vig
Size
$23.2k
Placed
Jun 17, 15:41 EDT
Market close
Jul 15, 20:11 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
wco26
Tx
0x0bca4597…
This wallet's graded record
5/7+0.4 pts
expected 5.0 from price
Share this receipt

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ $67.3k0% mrhod NEW100d agoexcluded
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $55.7k100% HorribleWork100d agoexcluded
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $31.6k0% 0xbba2…24fe100d agoexcluded
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $70.7k
2.3× usual
100% perroperro100d agoexcluded
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ $90.2k
3.2× usual
100% coali10100d agoexcluded
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 98¢ $11.6k98% mooseborzoi LOSING100d agoexcluded