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What this means. A wallet put $31.8k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 45% chance. It won. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$31.8k
BUY Yes @ 45¢ · 70,427 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)2.1× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet 0xfc08…a137 took Yes (buy) for $31.8k at an average 45¢. At that price the market implied a 45% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $31.8k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 45¢ means
45%chance the market gave
+121American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 45¢
- Implied odds
- 45.2%
- As American odds
- +121 no vig
- Size
- $31.8k
- Placed
- Jul 14, 16:22 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 19, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0xfc08…a137
- Tx
- 0x09cd5516…
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +55 ptsYes price · entry 45¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $35.7k | excluded |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $43.0k | excluded |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $26.7k | excluded |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $100.3k | excluded |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $64.7k | excluded |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.5k | excluded |