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What this means. A wallet put $20.5k on No, at a price that gave it a 40% chance. It won. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-4.4 pts over 35 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$20.5k
BUY No @ 40¢ · 51,324 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet umeax took No (buy) for $20.5k at an average 40¢. At that price the market implied a 40% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $20.5k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 40¢ means
40%chance the market gave
+150American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 40¢
- Implied odds
- 40.0%
- As American odds
- +150 no vig
- Size
- $20.5k
- Placed
- Jun 14, 06:42 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 15, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- umeax
- Tx
- 0x08e32fd0…
This wallet's graded record
14/35-4.4 pts
expected 15.5 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +60 ptsNo price · entry 40¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $199.8k 6.7× usual |
excluded |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $78.1k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $159.8k 6.9× usual |
excluded |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $92.9k 2.5× usual |
excluded |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $186.9k 8.9× usual |
excluded |