← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $10.6k on not No, at a price that gave it a 1% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 9 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.6k
SELL No @ 99.1¢ · 10,740 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet twe2nty took No (sell) for $10.6k at an average 99.1¢. At that price the market implied a 1% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.6k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.1¢
- Implied odds
- 0.9%
- Size
- $10.6k
- Placed
- Mar 09, 15:17 EDT
- Market close
- Mar 30, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- twe2nty
- Tx
- 0x08b4155a…
This wallet's graded record
6/9+6.4 pts
expected 5.4 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $21.0k | excluded |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $90.7k | excluded |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $13.9k | excluded |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $12.4k | excluded |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $12.3k | excluded |