← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $10.6k on No, at a price that gave it a 95% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 13 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.6k
BUY No @ 95¢ · 11,111 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Politics
What happened
Wallet debased took No (buy) for $10.6k at an average 95¢. At that price the market implied a 95% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.6k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 95¢ means
95%chance the market gave
−1900American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 95¢
- Implied odds
- 95.0%
- Size
- $10.6k
- Placed
- Apr 12, 14:37 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 11, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- debased
- Tx
- 0x08763894…
This wallet's graded record
13/13+12.5 pts
expected 11.4 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $21.0k | excluded |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ | $21.0k | excluded |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | LOW SELL No @ 99.4¢ | $14.0k | excluded |